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Winter 2025/2026 Report

April 12, 2026 By Camp Falbo

Winter 2025/2026 Snow and Wx Report

The information I am about to provide is non-biased, science-based data. This is not opinion nor prediction. I cannot tell you when peak will be, nor what it will look like. All I can do is present the data.

The numbers are in. We have officially past the historic peak snowpack date, we are well into Spring, and the data has officially been crunched. All metrics indicate the 2025/2026 winter was the warmest winter on record, with the lowest snowpack ever recorded.

For those of us who like to geek out on statistics and acronyms, continue reading.

The tracking of water in the west, in the form of snowpack, has been a priority of the US and State governments, municipalities and the end users since the beginning of last century. We now have all this data at our fingertips on the daily. I try to bring you the important data in the daily Poudre Rock Report. The snowpack data primarily comes from three sources: SNOWTEL, SWC, and Aerial.

The following statistics have been compiled from those three sources and the National Weather Service:

Historic Temperatures
• The average temperature for the December–February period was 33.6˚F, which is more than 8˚F above the 20th-century average.

Record Scope:
• This was the warmest winter on record for Colorado, with 49 counties setting individual records. It was also one of nine states in the West to experience its warmest winter on record.

Impacts:
• The warm, dry conditions resulted in below-average snowpack, significant impacts on ski operations, and increased concerns regarding water supply and wildfire risk.

Denver Specifics:
• Denver experienced its second-warmest winter on record and set a new record for the highest number of 60˚F days in a winter.

Cause:
• Researchers attribute the record-breaking warmth to a combination of a persistent ridge of high pressure, a weak La Niña, and a long-term warming climate.

Record Low Snowpack
“It’s now safe to conclude that this has been the worst year for Colorado snowpack in recorded history.” – Colorado State Climatologist Russ Schumacher (April 2026)

All three methods of measurement of SWE were consistent. Here are some alarming stats from the SWC:
• 64 total sites across the mountains
• 30 sites either tied or had lowest measurements
• 18 of those sites had no snow at all
• None of these sites had ever been snowless at this date before
• Five of these snowless sites never had less than 5”SWE on this date before

Definitions:
SWE (Snow Water Equivalent) is the depth of liquid water that would result if all the snow in a snowpack melted instantly. It measures the actual water content within the snow, rather than just the snow’s depth, and is expressed in inches or millimeters. It is critical for predicting water supply, forecasting floods, and managing reservoirs.
• My observation- The SWE is typically 1/3 (+/-) of the total snow depth.
• For example, let’s look at yesterday’s SWE at Joe Wright:
• The SWE was 5.6” with total snow depth of 16”
• This has been fairly consistent with a minor over/under.

SNOTEL (Snow Telemetry) is an automated system operated by the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) that monitors snowpack, precipitation, and temperature in the mountainous regions of the Western U.S. Using pressure-sensitive “pillows” and sensors, these remote stations provide real-time data, primarily focusing on Snow Water Equivalent (SWE)—the amount of water contained within the snowpack—to forecast water supplies and manage resources.

SWC (Snow Water Course) is a permanently marked line or area in the mountains where trained technicians take consistent, monthly, manual measurements of snow depth and water content (Snow Water Equivalent or SWE). These ground-based measurements are used, along with automated SNOTEL stations, to forecast spring runoff for water supply and irrigation, with data compiled by the NRCS.

ASO (Airborne Snow Observatory) An aerial snow monitoring tool that provides precise measurement of depth and water content for every square meter of snow in a watershed.

Opinion:
Boaters, the 2025/2026 was a bleak snow season.

Filed Under: RMA Poudre Rock Reports

Pine View 1.0 at 0700

April 12, 2026 By Camp Falbo

Currently 42˚F, mostly sunny, calm and still dry. RED FLAG Warning in effect till 8:00PM tonight.

FLOWS:
Poudre at Rustic: Inactive

Hewlett Gulch Bridge: Last Update: Apr 12, 2026 7:44 AM
Stage: 2.23 Feet; Flow: 125.3 Cubic Feet per Second

Mouth of the Canyon: Last Update: Apr 12, 2026 7:45 AM
Stage: 3.08 Feet; Flow: 117 Cubic Feet per Second

Lions Park: Last Update: Apr 12, 2026 7:54 AM
Stage: 2.14 Feet; Flow: 100 Cubic Feet per Second

Fort Collins: Last Updated: Last Update: Apr 12, 2026 7:42 AM
Stage: 0.76 Feet; Flow: 16.7 Cubic Feet per Second

CONDITIONS SNOTEL:
Joe Wright: Snow Water Equivalent: 5.3“; Depth: 14“; Observed Overnight Temp: 35˚F
Irene: Snow Water Equivalent: 9.9“; Depth: 28“; Observed Overnight Temp: 36˚F
Hourglass: Snow Water Equivalent: 0“; Depth: 0“; Observed Overnight Temp: 44˚F
Long Draw: Snow Water Equivalent: 3.9“; Depth: n/a“; Observed Overnight Temp: 38˚F

Air Temp in Poudre Park: 42˚F
Water Temp Poudre Park: n/aF
Water Speed Poudre Park: N/A

Today’s expected Wx: Sunny, with a high near 69. Breezy, with a southwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 17 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Filed Under: RMA Poudre Rock Reports

Pine View 0.9 at 0900

April 11, 2026 By Camp Falbo

Currently 50˚F, overcast and still dry. Do the rain dance harder!!

FLOWS:
Poudre at Rustic: Inactive

Hewlett Gulch Bridge: Last Update: Apr 11, 2026 9:02 AM
Stage: 2.16 Feet; Flow: 108.2 Cubic Feet per Second

Mouth of the Canyon: Last Update: Apr 11, 2026 9:15 AM
Stage: 3.01 Feet; Flow: 99.7 Cubic Feet per Second

Lions Park: Last Update: Apr 11, 2026 9:24 AM
Stage: 2.01 Feet; Flow: 75.6 Cubic Feet per Second

Fort Collins: Last Updated: Last Update: Apr 11, 2026 9:12 AM
Stage: 0.74 Feet; Flow: 15.6 Cubic Feet per Second

CONDITIONS SNOTEL:
Joe Wright: Snow Water Equivalent: 5.6“; Depth: 16“; Observed Overnight Temp: 43˚F
Irene: Snow Water Equivalent: 10“; Depth: 29“; Observed Overnight Temp: 38˚F
Hourglass: Snow Water Equivalent: 0“; Depth: 0“; Observed Overnight Temp: 41˚F
Long Draw: Snow Water Equivalent: 4.6“; Depth: n/a“; Observed Overnight Temp: 37˚F

Air Temp in Poudre Park: 50˚F
Water Temp Poudre Park: n/a F
Water Speed Poudre Park: N/A

Today’s expected Wx: A chance of showers between noon and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. South southwest wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 43. West wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light south southwest. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

Filed Under: RMA Poudre Rock Reports

Pine View 0.7 at 0630

April 10, 2026 By Camp Falbo

Currently 38˚F, partly cloudy and dry…still. Do a rain dance!!

FLOWS:
Poudre at Rustic: Inactive

Hewlett Gulch Bridge: Last Update: Apr 10, 2026 9:01 AM
Stage: 2.14 Feet; Flow: 103.7 Cubic Feet per Second

Mouth of the Canyon: Last Update: Apr 10, 2026 9:00 AM
Stage: 2.96 Feet; Flow: 87.8 Cubic Feet per Second

Lions Park: Last Update: Apr 10, 2026 9:04 AM
Stage: 2.02 Feet; Flow: 77.5 Cubic Feet per Second

Fort Collins: Last Updated: Last Update: Apr 10, 2026 8:57 AM
Stage: 0.75 Feet; Flow: 16.1 Cubic Feet per Second

CONDITIONS SNOTEL:
Joe Wright: Snow Water Equivalent: 5.8“; Depth: n/a“; Observed Overnight Temp: 29˚F
Irene: Snow Water Equivalent: 10.4“; Depth: 30“; Observed Overnight Temp: 34˚F
Hourglass: Snow Water Equivalent: 0“; Depth: 0“; Observed Overnight Temp: 42˚F
Long Draw: Snow Water Equivalent: 5.3“; Depth: 6“; Observed Overnight Temp: 35˚F

Air Temp in Poudre Park: 38˚F
Water Temp Poudre Park: n/aF
Water Speed Poudre Park: N/A

Today’s expected Wx: A slight chance of showers between noon and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East southeast wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

Filed Under: RMA Poudre Rock Reports

Pine View 0.8 at 0630

April 9, 2026 By Camp Falbo

Currently 38˚F, clear skies and calm.

FLOWS:
Poudre at Rustic: Inactive

Hewlett Gulch Bridge: Last Update: Apr 9, 2026 8:44 AM
Stage: 2.12 Feet; Flow: 99.3 Cubic Feet per Second

Mouth of the Canyon: Last Update: Apr 9, 2026 8:45 AM
Stage: 2.96 Feet; Flow: 87.8 Cubic Feet per Second

Lions Park: Last Update: Apr 9, 2026 8:59 AM
Stage: 1.58 Feet; Flow: 35.3 Cubic Feet per Second

Fort Collins: Last Updated: Last Update: Apr 9, 2026 8:57 AM
Stage: 0.71 Feet; Flow: 14.5 Cubic Feet per Second

CONDITIONS SNOTEL:
Joe Wright: Snow Water Equivalent: 5.9“; Depth: 14“; Observed Overnight Temp: 36˚F
Irene: Snow Water Equivalent: 10.5“; Depth: 29“; Observed Overnight Temp: 37˚F
Hourglass: Snow Water Equivalent: 0“; Depth: 0“; Observed Overnight Temp: 44˚F
Long Draw: Snow Water Equivalent: 6.0“; Depth: 8“; Observed Overnight Temp: 39˚F

Air Temp in Poudre Park: 38˚F
Water Temp Poudre Park: n/a F
Water Speed Poudre Park: N/A

Today’s expected Wx: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Light northwest wind becoming west northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Tonight: Showers likely before midnight. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 38. North northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Filed Under: RMA Poudre Rock Reports

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